ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,214 Elo points against 1,868 — a 346-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-4 | Super Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 ADO Den Haag win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 PSV Eindhoven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 13, 2021 | ADO Den Haag 2-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2020 | PSV Eindhoven 4-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 0-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2019 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Apr 21, 2019 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag on Mar 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 3.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.