ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,226 Elo points against 1,843, a 383-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADO Den Haag
4-4-2- 46Y. Eduardo
- 11E. Rottier
- 25J. Kilo
- 27N. Thomas
- 17J. Hawkins
- 7D. van Mieghem
- 3P. Mulder
- 15M. Hokke
- 4M. Waem
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 1K. Nikiéma
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 9R. Pepi
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 10P. Wanner
- 5I. Perišić
- 7R. van Bommel
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 6-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 ADO Den Haag wins, 1 draw, 5 PSV Eindhoven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 13, 2021 | ADO Den Haag 2-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2020 | PSV Eindhoven 4-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 0-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2019 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Apr 21, 2019 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag on Mar 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 3.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (2 points from 7 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 3rd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 16 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 2 |
A question about ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.