Twente vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Heerenveen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Twente wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs Heerenveen?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,096 vs 1,994).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs Heerenveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 11D. Rots
- 27S. Ørjasæter
- 10Y. Taha
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 16J. Drommel
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 20J. Trenskow
- 7M. Rivera
- 8N. Courtens
- 14L. Smans
- 16M. Linday
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 3M. Willemsen
- 45O. Braude
- 1B. Klaverboer
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Heerenveen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Twente wins, 2 draws, 1 Heerenveen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Heerenveen 1-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Twente 5-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Heerenveen 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Heerenveen 3-3 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Twente 2-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Heerenveen 3-3 Twente | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 5th in Eredivisie (17 points from 9 matches) and Heerenveen sit 8th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Twente vs Heerenveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Heerenveen.
- Where and when is Twente vs Heerenveen played?
- Twente vs Heerenveen is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.