Puszcza Niepołomice vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Chrobry Głogów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Chrobry Głogów?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836) and Chrobry Głogów (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Chrobry Głogów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów 1-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Chrobry Głogów 2-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Puszcza Niepołomice 2-2 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Puszcza Niepołomice on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Chrobry Głogów?
- The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Chrobry Głogów.
- Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Chrobry Głogów played?
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Chrobry Głogów is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Arka GdyniavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 15, 2027NiecieczavsPodbeskidzie
- May 15, 2027Odra OpolevsLechia Gdansk
- May 15, 2027Stal MielecvsPolonia Warszawa
- May 15, 2027Warta PoznańvsRuch Chorzów
- May 15, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsMiedz Legnica
- May 15, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsUnia Skierniewice
- May 15, 2027Polonia BytomvsStal Rzeszów