Match

Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia BytomStal Rzeszów

The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów?

Polonia Bytom starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,723).

Polonia Bytom win58 %
Draw21 %
Stal Rzeszów win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec(away)2-5I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Warta Poznań(home)4-3I Liga
Stal Rzeszów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stal Mielec(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)0-4I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-5I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Polonia Bytom win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Stal Rzeszów 3-1 Polonia BytomI Liga
Aug 9, 2025Polonia Bytom 0-1 Stal RzeszówI Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom2.12.3213/1513/15
Stal Rzeszów1.32.3111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Polonia Bytom512211145
18Stal Rzeszów50233122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów?
The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów played?
Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Polonia Bytom and Stal Rzeszów

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