Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom
The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów?
Polonia Bytom starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Polonia Bytom win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów 3-1 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 0-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów played?
- Polonia Bytom vs Stal Rzeszów is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Arka GdyniavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 15, 2027NiecieczavsPodbeskidzie
- May 15, 2027Odra OpolevsLechia Gdansk
- May 15, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsChrobry Głogów
- May 15, 2027Stal MielecvsPolonia Warszawa
- May 15, 2027Warta PoznańvsRuch Chorzów
- May 15, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsMiedz Legnica
- May 15, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsUnia Skierniewice