Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?

Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal Mielec

Puszcza Niepołomice

The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,822) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).

Stal Mielec win45 %

Draw25 %

Puszcza Niepołomice win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	0-4	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Polonia Bytom(home)	5-2	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	3-3	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	2-1	I Liga

Puszcza Niepołomice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 17, 2026	Arka Gdynia(away)	0-3	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	3-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)	0-1	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	0-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Mielec win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Stal Mielec 1-1 Puszcza Niepołomice	I Liga
Nov 5, 2025	Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Stal Mielec	I Liga
Sep 23, 2025	Stal Mielec 1-2 Puszcza Niepołomice	Cup
May 12, 2025	Puszcza Niepołomice 2-3 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa
Nov 10, 2024	Stal Mielec 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice	Ekstraklasa
Feb 9, 2024	Stal Mielec 2-1 Puszcza Niepołomice	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec	2.1	1.9	0	13/15	12/15
Puszcza Niepołomice	0.8	1.5	3	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 7th in I Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Mielec	5	2	2	1	11	11	8
17	Puszcza Niepołomice	5	1	0	4	3	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice?: The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?: Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.