Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń SiedlceUnia Skierniewice

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice?

Unia Skierniewice starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,759).

Pogoń Siedlce win28 %
Draw25 %
Unia Skierniewice win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)2-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Nieciecza(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 25, 2026ŁKS Łódź(home)1-1I Liga
Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Unia Skierniewice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 27, 2026Pogoń Siedlce 0-3 Unia SkierniewiceFriendlies Clubs
Jan 30, 2026Unia Skierniewice 5-1 Pogoń SiedlceFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice on Jun 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce1.11.838/159/15
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Unia Skierniewice5203586
14Pogoń Siedlce5122565

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice?
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice played?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogoń Siedlce and Unia Skierniewice

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