Odra Opole vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Itaka Arena, Opole
The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Odra Opole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Opole vs Lechia Gdansk?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Odra Opole (1,803) and Lechia Gdansk (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Opole have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Odra Opole win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Odra Opole 0-0 Lechia Gdansk | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole on Apr 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Opole sit 9th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Opole vs Lechia Gdansk?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Odra Opole.
- Where and when is Odra Opole vs Lechia Gdansk played?
- Odra Opole vs Lechia Gdansk is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Itaka Arena, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Arka GdyniavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 15, 2027NiecieczavsPodbeskidzie
- May 15, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsChrobry Głogów
- May 15, 2027Stal MielecvsPolonia Warszawa
- May 15, 2027Warta PoznańvsRuch Chorzów
- May 15, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsMiedz Legnica
- May 15, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsUnia Skierniewice
- May 15, 2027Polonia BytomvsStal Rzeszów