Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepołomice on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Miedz LegnicavsRuch Chorzów
- Feb 6, 2027NiecieczavsPogoń Siedlce
- Feb 6, 2027Odra OpolevsChrobry Głogów
- Feb 6, 2027PodbeskidzievsStal Mielec
- Feb 6, 2027Warta PoznańvsLechia Gdansk
- Feb 6, 2027Stal RzeszówvsArka Gdynia
- Feb 6, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsPolonia Warszawa
- Feb 6, 2027Polonia BytomvsŁKS Łódź