Where and when is Nieciecza vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

Nieciecza vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nieciecza vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza

Nieciecza

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Nieciecza starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,759).

Nieciecza win53 %

Draw24 %

Pogoń Siedlce win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nieciecza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	2-1	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Nea Salamis(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Nieciecza win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Nieciecza	I Liga
Feb 22, 2025	Nieciecza 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Aug 11, 2024	Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Nieciecza	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nieciecza	2.1	1.6	4	10/15	10/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Nieciecza	5	2	0	3	7	8	6
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Nieciecza vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: Nieciecza vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.