Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk played?

Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Warta Poznań

Lechia Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Lechia Gdansk (1,850).

Warta Poznań win45 %

Draw25 %

Lechia Gdansk win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Poznań
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	0-1	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

Lechia Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Podbeskidzie(away)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-3	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Poznań win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lechia Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk 0-3 Warta Poznań	I Liga
Mar 19, 2023	Warta Poznań 2-0 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa
Sep 3, 2022	Lechia Gdansk 0-0 Warta Poznań	Ekstraklasa
Apr 23, 2022	Lechia Gdansk 2-0 Warta Poznań	Ekstraklasa
Oct 30, 2021	Warta Poznań 0-2 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa
Feb 5, 2021	Lechia Gdansk 1-1 Warta Poznań	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznań on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Warta Poznań	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15
Lechia Gdansk	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Warta Poznań	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	3	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk played?: Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.