Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia?
Arka Gdynia starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Arka Gdynia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia 4-0 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 2-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Jul 22, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 1-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 5-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Stal Rzeszów 2-3 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| May 7, 2023 | Stal Rzeszów 2-1 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia?
- The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia played?
- Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Miedz LegnicavsRuch Chorzów
- Feb 6, 2027NiecieczavsPogoń Siedlce
- Feb 6, 2027Odra OpolevsChrobry Głogów
- Feb 6, 2027PodbeskidzievsStal Mielec
- Feb 6, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Feb 6, 2027Warta PoznańvsLechia Gdansk
- Feb 6, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsPolonia Warszawa
- Feb 6, 2027Polonia BytomvsŁKS Łódź