Match

Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów

Stal RzeszówArka Gdynia

The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia?

Arka Gdynia starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,723).

Stal Rzeszów win26 %
Draw25 %
Arka Gdynia win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Rzeszów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stal Mielec(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)0-4I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-5I Liga
Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-2I Liga
Aug 17, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(home)3-0I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)0-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)4-0I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Arka Gdynia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Arka Gdynia 4-0 Stal RzeszówI Liga
Dec 2, 2024Arka Gdynia 2-1 Stal RzeszówI Liga
Jul 22, 2024Stal Rzeszów 1-0 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Feb 25, 2024Arka Gdynia 5-1 Stal RzeszówI Liga
Aug 13, 2023Stal Rzeszów 2-3 Arka GdyniaI Liga
May 7, 2023Stal Rzeszów 2-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Rzeszów1.32.3111/1511/15
Arka Gdynia1.21.564/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Arka Gdynia5302849
18Stal Rzeszów50233122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia?
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia played?
Stal Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stal Rzeszów and Arka Gdynia

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