Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia SkierniewicePolonia Warszawa

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,912) and Polonia Warszawa (1,886).

Unia Skierniewice win44 %
Draw25 %
Polonia Warszawa win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga
Polonia Warszawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nieciecza(away)3-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)3-1I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unia Skierniewice win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Polonia Warszawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa 3-1 Unia SkierniewiceI Liga
Mar 5, 2022Polonia Warszawa 2-0 Unia SkierniewiceIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 10, 2021Unia Skierniewice 2-1 Polonia WarszawaIII Liga - Group 1
Jun 19, 2021Polonia Warszawa 2-2 Unia SkierniewiceIII Liga - Group 1
May 12, 2021Unia Skierniewice 0-1 Polonia WarszawaIII Liga - Group 1
Mar 20, 2021Polonia Warszawa 0-1 Unia SkierniewiceIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15
Polonia Warszawa1.51.7110/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Polonia Warszawa53118410
12Unia Skierniewice5203586

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa?
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Warszawa.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa played?
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unia Skierniewice and Polonia Warszawa

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