Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,912) and Polonia Warszawa (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unia Skierniewice win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Polonia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa 3-1 Unia Skierniewice | I Liga |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Polonia Warszawa 2-0 Unia Skierniewice | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Unia Skierniewice 2-1 Polonia Warszawa | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Polonia Warszawa 2-2 Unia Skierniewice | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 12, 2021 | Unia Skierniewice 0-1 Polonia Warszawa | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Polonia Warszawa 0-1 Unia Skierniewice | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Warszawa.
- Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa played?
- Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Miedz LegnicavsRuch Chorzów
- Feb 6, 2027NiecieczavsPogoń Siedlce
- Feb 6, 2027Odra OpolevsChrobry Głogów
- Feb 6, 2027PodbeskidzievsStal Mielec
- Feb 6, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Feb 6, 2027Warta PoznańvsLechia Gdansk
- Feb 6, 2027Stal RzeszówvsArka Gdynia
- Feb 6, 2027Polonia BytomvsŁKS Łódź