Match

Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaMatchday 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała

PodbeskidzieStal Mielec

The Footlab AI model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Podbeskidzie wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,815) and Stal Mielec (1,743).

44%26%30%
Podbeskidzie winDrawStal Mielec win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Podbeskidzie

4-3-3
  1. 90L. Klisiewicz
  2. 11T. Hirosawa
  3. 98W. Słomka
  1. 6M. Rakoczy
  2. 26O. Sewerzyński
  3. 27A. Iwanczyk
  1. 4M. Biernat
  2. 2K. Sochań
  3. 3A. Kasperkiewicz
  4. 22Kacper Gach
  1. 99S. Branczyk

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 78K. Cybulski
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 7M. Cebula
  3. 18P. Wlazło
  4. 19T. Gmur
  5. 23K. Getinger
  1. 44Israel Puerto
  2. 14K. Kościelny
  3. 94B. Kwiecień
  4. 5H. Matynia
  1. 31A. Chichkan

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Stal Mielec have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podbeskidzie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)1-3I Liga
Oct 31, 2026Warta Poznań(home)1-1I Liga
Oct 25, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)2-1I Liga
Oct 18, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)0-1I Liga
Oct 9, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)1-0I Liga
Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 30, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)0-0I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-3I Liga
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Podbeskidzie wins, 1 draw, 3 Stal Mielec wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2026Stal Mielec 3-3 PodbeskidzieI Liga
Mar 15, 2021Stal Mielec 2-1 PodbeskidzieEkstraklasa
Oct 3, 2020Podbeskidzie 1-0 Stal MielecEkstraklasa
Nov 30, 2019Stal Mielec 2-1 PodbeskidzieI Liga
Aug 11, 2019Podbeskidzie 4-1 Stal MielecI Liga
Mar 2, 2019Podbeskidzie 0-2 Stal MielecI Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Podbeskidzie score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Podbeskidzie1.01.538/156/15
Stal Mielec1.52.039/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podbeskidzie sit 15th in I Liga (15 points from 14 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 11th (19 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Stal Mielec14545192719
15Podbeskidzie14293172015

A question about Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec?
The Footlab AI model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec played?
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Podbeskidzie and Stal Mielec