Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec played?

Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała

Podbeskidzie

Stal Mielec

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec?

Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,821).

Podbeskidzie win56 %

Draw23 %

Stal Mielec win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Stal Mielec have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podbeskidzie
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	3-3	I Liga

Stal Mielec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	0-4	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Polonia Bytom(home)	5-2	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	3-3	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	2-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Podbeskidzie win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Stal Mielec win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 2, 2026	Stal Mielec 3-3 Podbeskidzie	I Liga
Mar 15, 2021	Stal Mielec 2-1 Podbeskidzie	Ekstraklasa
Oct 3, 2020	Podbeskidzie 1-0 Stal Mielec	Ekstraklasa
Nov 30, 2019	Stal Mielec 2-1 Podbeskidzie	I Liga
Aug 11, 2019	Podbeskidzie 4-1 Stal Mielec	I Liga
Mar 2, 2019	Podbeskidzie 0-2 Stal Mielec	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Podbeskidzie	1.8	1.1	3	12/15	8/15
Stal Mielec	2.1	1.9	0	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Mielec	5	2	2	1	11	11	8
13	Podbeskidzie	5	0	5	0	8	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec?: The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec played?: Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.