Pyramids FC vs GOR Mahia: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)30 June Air Defence Stadium, al-Qāhirah (Cairo)
The Footlab model makes Pyramids FC the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for GOR Mahia. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pyramids FC vs GOR Mahia?
Pyramids FC is a heavy favourite: 2,044 Elo points against 1,680 — a 364-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pyramids FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; GOR Mahia have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 24, 2026 | APR(away) | 5-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Pyramids FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; GOR Mahia score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| GOR Mahia | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pyramids FC vs GOR Mahia?
- The Footlab model makes Pyramids FC the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for GOR Mahia.
- Where and when is Pyramids FC vs GOR Mahia played?
- Pyramids FC vs GOR Mahia is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 30 June Air Defence Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.