Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), Doha
The Footlab model makes Qatar SC the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Al-Gharafa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Qatar SC (1,680) and Al-Gharafa (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qatar SC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Gharafa have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(home) | 1-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 1-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 1-4 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(home) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Šamorín(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 4-1 | Emir Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 0-0 | Emir Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Qatar SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Al-Gharafa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Qatar SC 2-0 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Qatar SC 3-2 Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 2-1 Qatar SC | Stars League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 4-2 Qatar SC | Stars League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Qatar SC 1-3 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| May 19, 2024 | Qatar SC 2-2 Al-Gharafa | Emir Cup |
Last archived meeting: Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Qatar SC score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Gharafa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar SC | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Al-Gharafa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qatar SC sit 6th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al-Gharafa sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Gharafa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Qatar SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa?
- The Footlab model makes Qatar SC the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Al-Gharafa.
- Where and when is Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa played?
- Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa is played on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.