Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Gharafa the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Qatar SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Gharafa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Qatar SC (1,670) and Al-Gharafa (1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qatar SC
4-4-2- 9João Pedro
- 18Mohamed Mushrinn
- 24N. Mason
- 10Tabata
- 6Pau Prim
- 7F. Selemani
- 40S. F. Diouf
- 21Abdullah Marafee
- 4A. Saoudi
- 42Yaseen Lafrid
- 17A. N. Mahmoud
Al-Gharafa
4-2-3-1- 9F. Magri
- 13F. Sassi
- 29F. Díaz
- 8Y. Brahimi
- 11Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag
- 7F. Coman
- 20Jang Hyun-Soo
- 18Ayoub Al Oui
- 4S. Sano
- 23Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla
- 1Khalifa Ababacar
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qatar SC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Gharafa have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 2-2 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 0-0 | Stars League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(away) | 0-1 | Stars League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 2-6 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(home) | 4-2 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-4 | Stars League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-2 | Qatar Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Qatar SC wins, 1 draw, 3 Al-Gharafa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Qatar SC 2-0 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Qatar SC 3-2 Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 2-1 Qatar SC | Stars League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 4-2 Qatar SC | Stars League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Qatar SC 1-3 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| May 19, 2024 | Qatar SC 2-2 Al-Gharafa | Emir Cup |
Last archived meeting: Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Qatar SC score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Gharafa score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar SC | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Gharafa | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qatar SC sit 10th in Stars League (2 points from 4 matches) and Al-Gharafa sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al-Gharafa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Qatar SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
A question about Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Gharafa the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Qatar SC.
- Where and when is Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa played?
- Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa is played on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.