Quorn vs Leek Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quorn vs Leek Town?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Quorn (1,768) and Leek Town (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Quorn win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leek Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Quorn 4-2 Leek Town | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Quorn score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Leek Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (3 points from 6 matches) and Leek Town sit 18th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Leek Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 21 | Quorn | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Leek Town?
- The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Quorn vs Leek Town played?
- Quorn vs Leek Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027BuryvsUnited of Manchester
- Mar 29, 2027Guiseley AFCvsGainsborough Trinity
- Mar 29, 2027Alfreton TownvsIlkeston Town
- Mar 29, 2027WorkingtonvsStockton Town
- Mar 29, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsAFC Emley
- Mar 29, 2027Ashton UnitedvsHyde United
- Mar 29, 2027Bamber BridgevsLancaster City
- Mar 29, 2027Warrington TownvsRylands