Match

Quorn vs Leek Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire

QuornLeek Town

The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Quorn vs Leek Town?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Quorn (1,768) and Leek Town (1,777).

Quorn win41 %
Draw27 %
Leek Town win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Quorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Lancaster City(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Rylands(away)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Cleethorpes Town(home)0-5Non League Premier - Northern
Leek Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bamber Bridge(home)4-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026AFC Emley(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Stockton Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026United of Manchester(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Whitby Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Quorn win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leek Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 23, 2023Quorn 4-2 Leek TownFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Quorn vs Leek Town on Sep 23, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Quorn score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Quorn1.01.938/159/15
Leek Town1.51.059/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (3 points from 6 matches) and Leek Town sit 18th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18Leek Town5122875
21Quorn60336133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Leek Town?
The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Leek Town.
Where and when is Quorn vs Leek Town played?
Quorn vs Leek Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Quorn and Leek Town

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