Sodupe vs San Ignacio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Lorenzo Hurtado de Saratxo, Sodupe
The Footlab model makes Sodupe the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for San Ignacio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sodupe vs San Ignacio?
San Ignacio starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sodupe have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; San Ignacio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2021 | JD Somorrostro(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Urgatzi(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 29, 2021 | Tolosa(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 22, 2021 | Aurrerá Ondarroa(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 15, 2021 | Balmaseda(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sodupe win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Ignacio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | Sodupe 0-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 19, 2020 | San Ignacio 1-0 Sodupe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Sodupe 1-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 12, 2019 | San Ignacio 3-0 Sodupe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sodupe vs San Ignacio on Mar 13, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Sodupe score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Ignacio score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodupe | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| San Ignacio | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 27 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sodupe vs San Ignacio?
- The Footlab model makes Sodupe the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for San Ignacio.
- Where and when is Sodupe vs San Ignacio played?
- Sodupe vs San Ignacio is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Lorenzo Hurtado de Saratxo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.