Touring vs Leioa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Fandería, Errenteria
The Footlab AI model makes Touring the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Leioa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Touring wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Touring vs Leioa?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Touring (1,786) and Leioa (1,850).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Touring vs Leioa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Touring
Not enough data to predict the Touring lineup.
Leioa
Not enough data to predict the Leioa lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Touring have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leioa have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Durango(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Amurrio Club(away) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Touring wins, 0 draws, 3 Leioa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Leioa 2-3 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 16, 2026 | Touring 0-1 Leioa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Touring 2-1 Leioa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Leioa 0-3 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2025 | Leioa 3-2 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Touring 0-4 Leioa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Touring score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leioa score 1.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Touring | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Leioa | 1.6 | 2.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Touring sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 6 matches) and Leioa sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Touring | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Touring vs Leioa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Touring vs Leioa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Touring the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Leioa.
- Where and when is Touring vs Leioa played?
- Touring vs Leioa is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Fandería, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.