Where and when is Lugo vs Athletic Club II played?

Lugo vs Athletic Club II is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lugo vs Athletic Club II: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo

Lugo

Athletic Club II

The Footlab model makes Lugo the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Athletic Club II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lugo vs Athletic Club II?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Lugo (1,885) and Athletic Club II (1,897).

Lugo win40 %

Draw30 %

Athletic Club II win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Athletic Club II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lugo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Coruxo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Athletic Club II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Laredo(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Amorebieta(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Sestao River(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Ponferradina(away)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Lugo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Athletic Club II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Lugo 1-0 Athletic Club II	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 29, 2025	Athletic Club II 2-0 Lugo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Feb 21, 2025	Athletic Club II 2-2 Lugo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 2, 2024	Lugo 1-0 Athletic Club II	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Athletic Club II on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club II score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lugo	0.9	1.3	5	6/15	6/15
Athletic Club II	1.1	1.1	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lugo sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (53 points from 38 matches) and Athletic Club II sit 13th (49 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36	40	53
13	Athletic Club II	38	13	10	15	38	46	49

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Athletic Club II?: The Footlab model makes Lugo the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Athletic Club II.
Where and when is Lugo vs Athletic Club II played?: Lugo vs Athletic Club II is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.