Racing Santander II vs Gernika: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Albericia, Santander
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Santander II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander II vs Gernika?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Racing Santander II (1,925) and Gernika (1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Santander II vs Gernika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Santander II
Not enough data to predict the Racing Santander II lineup.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gernika have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Racing Santander II wins, 2 draws, 0 Gernika wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | Gernika 1-1 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Racing Santander II 0-0 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gernika vs Racing Santander II on Apr 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander II score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander II | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Gernika | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander II sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 9 matches) and Gernika sit 10th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gernika | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 11 |
| 14 | Racing Santander II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Racing Santander II vs Gernika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander II vs Gernika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gernika.
- Where and when is Racing Santander II vs Gernika played?
- Racing Santander II vs Gernika is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Albericia, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.