Match

Real Madrid III vs Llanera: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, Madrid

Real Madrid IIILlanera

The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Madrid III vs Llanera?

Llanera starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,000 vs 1,852).

Real Madrid III win29 %
Draw28 %
Llanera win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid III have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Llanera have 12, 3 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Madrid III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Estepona(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Estepona(home)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Conquense(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026SS Reyes(away)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Llanera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Avilés Stadium(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Avilés Stadium(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Tuilla(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Real Titánico(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Real Madrid III score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Madrid III1.51.167/158/15
Llanera1.90.4114/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Madrid III vs Llanera?
The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Real Madrid III.
Where and when is Real Madrid III vs Llanera played?
Real Madrid III vs Llanera is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Madrid III and Llanera

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