Match

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Coruxo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega

Gimnástica TorrelavegaCoruxo

The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Coruxo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Coruxo?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,974) and Coruxo (1,898).

Gimnástica Torrelavega win51 %
Draw26 %
Coruxo win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Torrelavega have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Coruxo have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnástica Torrelavega
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Bezana(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 11, 2026Sestao River(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Basconia(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Sporting Gijon(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 9, 2026Barquereño(away)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Coruxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Pontevedra(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Lugo(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Atlético Baleares(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gimnástica Torrelavega win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Coruxo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 23, 2025Gimnástica Torrelavega 0-0 CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2024Coruxo 1-1 Gimnástica TorrelavegaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
May 5, 2024Coruxo 1-1 Gimnástica TorrelavegaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 7, 2024Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-3 CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
May 14, 2023Coruxo 1-1 Gimnástica TorrelavegaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 15, 2023Gimnástica Torrelavega 0-0 CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Coruxo on Feb 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnástica Torrelavega score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gimnástica Torrelavega2.10.977/158/15
Coruxo1.31.4211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Coruxo3415712463752

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Coruxo?
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Coruxo.
Where and when is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Coruxo played?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Coruxo is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Malecón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gimnástica Torrelavega and Coruxo

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