Basconia vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Artunduaga, Basauri
The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bergantiños. The most likely score is 1-1. If Basconia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basconia vs Bergantiños?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Basconia (1,965) and Bergantiños (1,941).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Basconia vs Bergantiños
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Basconia
Not enough data to predict the Basconia lineup.
Bergantiños
Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basconia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Bergantiños have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(away) | 0-1 | Copa Federacion |
How many goals should we expect?
Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Bergantiños | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basconia sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 6 matches) and Bergantiños sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Basconia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Basconia vs Bergantiños?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basconia vs Bergantiños?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bergantiños.
- Where and when is Basconia vs Bergantiños played?
- Basconia vs Bergantiños is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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