Racing Santander vs Valencia: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Valencia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Santander wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Valencia?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Racing Santander (1,975) and Valencia (1,997).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Santander vs Valencia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 15Pablo García
- 18M. Prati
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Valencia
4-4-2- 8Javi Guerra
- 9Hugo Duro
- 23F. Ugrinic
- 7A. Danjuma
- 2G. Rodríguez
- 15A. Dieng
- 18Pepelu
- 14José Gayà
- 24Pablo Carmine Maffeo Becerra
- 12J. de Haas
- 1S. Dimitrievski
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Valencia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Elche(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Racing Santander wins, 2 draws, 2 Valencia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2012 | Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia | La Liga |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Valencia 4-3 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Jan 31, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2010 | Valencia 1-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Valencia on Jan 29, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Valencia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 16th in La Liga (7 points from 7 matches) and Valencia sit 19th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Valencia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Valencia.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Valencia played?
- Racing Santander vs Valencia is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.