Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC)Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Deportivo La Coruna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Real Sociedad (2,034) and Deportivo La Coruna (2,010).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 18Carlos Soler
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 21Y. Herrera
- 12J. Ochieng
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 2J. Aramburu
- 34Luken Beitia
- 6Jon Martín
- 1Álex Remiro
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2- 32B. Nsongo
- 18Jonathan Asp Jensen
- 21Mario Soriano
- 14Riki Rodríguez
- 16L. Amatucci
- 19Luismi Cruz
- 12G. Quagliata
- 20J. Giménez
- 23Ximo Navarro
- 15Miguel Loureiro
- 13Leo Román
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Deportivo La Coruna have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Elche(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Sociedad wins, 2 draws, 1 Deportivo La Coruna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2018 | Real Sociedad 5-0 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-4 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Dec 5, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 5-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Real Sociedad 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2015 | Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna on Feb 2, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad sit 8th in La Liga (10 points from 7 matches) and Deportivo La Coruna sit 7th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Deportivo La Coruna.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
- Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC) at Reale Arena, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.