Real Madrid vs Villarreal: result 1-0 and analysis
La LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Full time
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Real Madrid won 1-0 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 62′Y. DiomandeReal Madrid
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Madrid win at 71%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Real Madrid vs Villarreal
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 25Y. Diomande
- 5J. Bellingham
- 15A. Güler
- 14A. Tchouaméni
- 8F. Valverde
- 18Álvaro Fernández
- 22A. Rüdiger
- 16I. Konaté
- 12Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 1T. Courtois
Villarreal
4-2-3-1- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 18P. Gueye
- 8J. Foyth
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 12Renato Veiga
- 6Pau Navarro
- 3A. Freeman
- 25P. Gulácsi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Villarreal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Elche(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Real Madrid wins, 1 draw, 0 Villarreal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Villarreal 0-2 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Real Madrid 3-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Villarreal 1-2 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Real Madrid 2-0 Villarreal | La Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | Villarreal 4-4 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal vs Real Madrid on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 2nd in La Liga (30 points from 12 matches) and Villarreal sit 8th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | 30 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
A question about Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy