Radnor Valley vs Cardiff Draconians: prediction and stats
Welsh CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Radnor Valley the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff Draconians. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radnor Valley vs Cardiff Draconians?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Radnor Valley (1,548) and Cardiff Draconians (1,570).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Radnor Valley vs Cardiff Draconians
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Radnor Valley
Not enough data to predict the Radnor Valley lineup.
Cardiff Draconians
Not enough data to predict the Cardiff Draconians lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Radnor Valley have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Goytre AFC(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Radnor Valley score 0.5 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 2; Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnor Valley | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| Cardiff Draconians | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
A question about Radnor Valley vs Cardiff Draconians?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radnor Valley vs Cardiff Draconians?
- The Footlab AI model makes Radnor Valley the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff Draconians.
- Where and when is Radnor Valley vs Cardiff Draconians played?
- Radnor Valley vs Cardiff Draconians is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Welsh Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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