Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Raków Częstochowa played?

Wisla Plock vs Raków Częstochowa is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wisla Plock vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock

Wisla Plock

Raków Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Raków Częstochowa?

Raków Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,918).

Wisla Plock win38 %

Draw25 %

Raków Częstochowa win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Plock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026	Wisla Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Raków Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	HNK Hajduk Split(away)	2-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Hammarby FF(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hammarby FF(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wisla Plock win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Raków Częstochowa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Raków Częstochowa 1-2 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Feb 1, 2026	Wisla Plock 2-1 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2025	Raków Częstochowa 1-2 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
May 21, 2023	Wisla Plock 1-2 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Nov 5, 2022	Raków Częstochowa 7-1 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Jul 1, 2022	Wisla Plock 3-0 Raków Częstochowa	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock on Jul 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock	1.3	1.6	4	6/15	11/15
Raków Częstochowa	1.7	1.3	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Plock sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 4 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	3	8	4
18	Raków Częstochowa	3	0	0	3	3	6	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Raków Częstochowa?: The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Raków Częstochowa played?: Wisla Plock vs Raków Częstochowa is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.