Rahimo vs Maghreb Fès: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Wobi, Bobo-Dioulasso
The Footlab model makes Rahimo the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Maghreb Fès. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rahimo vs Maghreb Fès?
Maghreb Fès starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rahimo have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Maghreb Fès have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | RC Bobo-Dioulasso(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | RCK(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | USFA(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Réal du Faso(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Wydad AC(away) | 1-0 | Botola Pro |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Renaissance Berkane(home) | 1-2 | Botola Pro |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Difaa EL Jadida(home) | 2-1 | Botola Pro |
| Jun 12, 2026 | FUS Rabat(away) | 1-1 | Botola Pro |
| Jun 9, 2026 | FAR Rabat(home) | 0-0 | Botola Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Rahimo score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maghreb Fès score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahimo | 1.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Maghreb Fès | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rahimo vs Maghreb Fès?
- The Footlab model makes Rahimo the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Maghreb Fès.
- Where and when is Rahimo vs Maghreb Fès played?
- Rahimo vs Maghreb Fès is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Wobi, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.