Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock?
Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Legia Warszawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wisla Plock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 2-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Wisla Plock 1-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Legia Warszawa 2-0 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Wisla Plock 0-3 Legia Warszawa | Cup |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Wisla Plock 2-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Wisla Plock 1-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Wisla Plock.
- Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock played?
- Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027JagielloniavsCracovia Krakow
- May 8, 2027Slask WroclawvsPogon Szczecin
- May 8, 2027Wisla KrakowvsRadomiak Radom
- May 8, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsZaglebie Lubin
- May 8, 2027Korona KielcevsPiast Gliwice
- May 8, 2027Lech PoznanvsGKS Katowice
- May 8, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsRaków Częstochowa
- May 8, 2027Motor LublinvsWieczysta Kraków