Match

Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa

Legia WarszawaWisla Plock

The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock?

Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,916).

Legia Warszawa win57 %
Draw24 %
Wisla Plock win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Legia Warszawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)5-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-0Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026GKS Katowice(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Raków Częstochowa(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Legia Warszawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wisla Plock win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Legia Warszawa 2-1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Aug 17, 2025Wisla Plock 1-0 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Apr 28, 2023Legia Warszawa 2-0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Oct 18, 2022Wisla Plock 0-3 Legia WarszawaCup
Oct 14, 2022Wisla Plock 2-1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Dec 12, 2021Wisla Plock 1-0 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Legia Warszawa1.90.777/157/15
Wisla Plock1.31.646/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Legia Warszawa532011311
15Wisla Plock4112384

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock?
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Wisla Plock.
Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock played?
Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Legia Warszawa and Wisla Plock

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