Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Widzew Łódź (1,970) and Raków Częstochowa (2,034).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Widzew Łódź win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| May 24, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 2-3 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew Łódź sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 5 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Raków Częstochowa.
- Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa played?
- Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027JagielloniavsCracovia Krakow
- May 8, 2027Slask WroclawvsPogon Szczecin
- May 8, 2027Wisla KrakowvsRadomiak Radom
- May 8, 2027Legia WarszawavsWisla Plock
- May 8, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsZaglebie Lubin
- May 8, 2027Korona KielcevsPiast Gliwice
- May 8, 2027Lech PoznanvsGKS Katowice
- May 8, 2027Motor LublinvsWieczysta Kraków