Match

Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź

Widzew ŁódźRaków Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Widzew Łódź (1,970) and Raków Częstochowa (2,034).

Widzew Łódź win43 %
Draw26 %
Raków Częstochowa win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Korona Kielce(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Jagiellonia(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Wisla Plock(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Motor Lublin(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Hammarby FF(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hammarby FF(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)1-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Widzew Łódź win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Sep 28, 2025Widzew Łódź 0-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
May 24, 2025Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Nov 30, 2024Widzew Łódź 2-3 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Apr 27, 2024Widzew Łódź 0-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Oct 29, 2023Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Widzew Łódź1.50.976/157/15
Raków Częstochowa1.71.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Widzew Łódź sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 5 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Widzew Łódź5131876
18Raków Częstochowa3003360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa played?
Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Widzew Łódź and Raków Częstochowa

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