Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nye Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Fredrikstad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rosenborg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Fredrikstad (1,980) and Rosenborg (2,030).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fredrikstad
3-4-3- 23H. Skogvold
- 7B. Thoresen
- 18B. Fiabema
- 16D. Eid
- 14M. Nilsson
- 6S. Leach Holm
- 13S. Sørløkk
- 4F. Holmé
- 38I. Amundsen
- 28S. Owusu
- 77M. Børsheim
Rosenborg
4-4-2- 35E. Ceïde
- 18Amin Chiakha
- 10O. Selnæs
- 17M. Bomholt
- 7S. Nordli
- 11N. Sahsah
- 19A. Pereira
- 21T. Nemčík
- 4M. Ceïde
- 16A. Witry
- 1L. Wahlstedt
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fredrikstad have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Rosenborg have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 4-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 3-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 5-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fredrikstad win, 2 draws, 3 Rosenborg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Rosenborg 4-0 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| May 28, 2025 | Fredrikstad 0-2 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Rosenborg 1-0 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Fredrikstad 2-2 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Rosenborg 1-1 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| May 1, 2024 | Fredrikstad 1-0 Rosenborg | NM Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad on Jul 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fredrikstad score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rosenborg score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rosenborg | 3.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fredrikstad sit 8th in Eliteserien (28 points from 21 matches) and Rosenborg sit 5th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 33 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 28 |
A question about Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Fredrikstad.
- Where and when is Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg played?
- Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.