Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Getafe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rayo Vallecano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe?
On Elo ratings, Rayo Vallecano has 2,037 points and Getafe 1,975.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3- 10Sergio Camello
- 18Álvaro García
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 8Unai López
- 6P. Ciss
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 24F. Lejeune
- 2A. Rațiu
- 17Adrià Pedrosa
- 15Mujaid Sadick
- 25E. Audero
Getafe
5-4-1- 20Iván Azón
- 11Ramón Terrats
- 16Francho Serrano
- 21Andrés García
- 6Mario Martín
- 2D. Dakonam
- 8N. Gudelj
- 24Z. Romero
- 22J. Mojica
- 17Kiko Femenía
- 13David Soria
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Getafe have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rayo Vallecano wins, 3 draws, 0 Getafe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe | La Liga |
| May 2, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Jan 2, 2024 | Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Getafe | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayo Vallecano sit 13th in La Liga (8 points from 7 matches) and Getafe sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Getafe.
- Where and when is Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe played?
- Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Vallecas, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.