Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
The Footlab model makes Getafe the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Rayo Vallecano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Getafe (2,053) and Rayo Vallecano (2,096).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Getafe win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Rayo Vallecano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe | La Liga |
| May 2, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Jan 2, 2024 | Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Getafe sit 8th in La Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Rayo Vallecano sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
- The Footlab model makes Getafe the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Rayo Vallecano.
- Where and when is Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano played?
- Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Coliseum, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.