Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
The Footlab AI model makes Getafe the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Rayo Vallecano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Getafe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Getafe (1,978) and Rayo Vallecano (2,037).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Getafe
4-5-1- 19E. Ünal
- 10M. Satriano
- 8N. Gudelj
- 11Ramón Terrats
- 20Iván Azón
- 16Francho Serrano
- 2D. Dakonam
- 24Z. Romero
- 22J. Mojica
- 21Andrés García
- 13David Soria
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3- 10Sergio Camello
- 18Álvaro García
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 8Unai López
- 6P. Ciss
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 24F. Lejeune
- 2A. Rațiu
- 17Adrià Pedrosa
- 15Mujaid Sadick
- 25E. Audero
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Getafe wins, 3 draws, 3 Rayo Vallecano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe | La Liga |
| May 2, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Jan 2, 2024 | Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Getafe sit 11th in La Liga (8 points from 7 matches) and Rayo Vallecano sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Getafe the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Rayo Vallecano.
- Where and when is Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano played?
- Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Coliseum, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.