Corinthians vs Mirassol: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Corinthians the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Mirassol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Corinthians wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Corinthians vs Mirassol?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Corinthians (1,813) and Mirassol (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Corinthians vs Mirassol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Corinthians
4-2-3-1- 9Yuri Alberto
- 37Kaio César
- 8R. Garro
- 7Breno
- 10M. Depay
- 14Raniele
- 13Gustavo Henrique
- 21Matheus Bidu
- 2Matheuzinho
- 3Gabriel Paulista
- 1Hugo Souza
Mirassol
4-2-3-1- 30Bruno Santos
- 33Eduardo
- 27Denilson
- 10Chico
- 95Edson
- 77Alesson
- 3Willian Machado
- 6Reinaldo
- 32Igor Formiga
- 34João Victor
- 22Walter
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corinthians have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mirassol have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Uberlandia(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Corinthians wins, 0 draws, 2 Mirassol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Corinthians 3-0 Mirassol | Serie A |
| May 10, 2025 | Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Corinthians 3-0 Mirassol | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 11, 2022 | Corinthians 2-1 Mirassol | Paulista - A1 |
Last archived meeting: Mirassol vs Corinthians on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Corinthians score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mirassol score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mirassol | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Corinthians sit 16th in Serie A (32 points from 29 matches) and Mirassol sit 15th (33 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mirassol | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 32 |
A question about Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Mirassol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Corinthians the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Mirassol.
- Where and when is Corinthians vs Mirassol played?
- Corinthians vs Mirassol is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Maracanã, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.