Fluminense vs Internacional: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Fluminense the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Internacional. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fluminense vs Internacional?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Fluminense (2,013) and Internacional (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Internacional have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Remo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Remo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fluminense win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Internacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Internacional 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Fluminense 1-0 Internacional | Serie A |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fluminense 1-1 Internacional | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Internacional 1-2 Fluminense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Internacional 0-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Internacional 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Internacional vs Fluminense on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Internacional score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Internacional | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Internacional sit 16th (25 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 16 | Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fluminense vs Internacional?
- The Footlab model makes Fluminense the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Internacional.
- Where and when is Fluminense vs Internacional played?
- Fluminense vs Internacional is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.