RB Bragantino vs Gremio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Gremio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate RB Bragantino (1,947) and Gremio (1,927).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Bragantino have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 RB Bragantino win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Gremio 1-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | RB Bragantino 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 10, 2025 | Gremio 1-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2024 | RB Bragantino 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Gremio 0-2 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2023 | RB Bragantino 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs RB Bragantino on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RB Bragantino score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Bragantino sit 7th in Serie A (32 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 32 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
Who is out?
7 reported absence(s) for this match.
- F. BalbuenaGremioOut(Coach's decision)
- João PedroGremioOut(Transfer negotiations)
- M. MonsalveGremioOut(Coach's decision)
- W. KannemannGremioOut(Yellow Cards)
- Davi GomesRB BragantinoOut(Knee Injury)
- FernandoRB BragantinoOut(Illness)
- VanderlanRB BragantinoOut(Knee Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
- The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Gremio.
- Where and when is RB Bragantino vs Gremio played?
- RB Bragantino vs Gremio is played on August 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.