Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove Sporting: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)McMullen Park, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Bromsgrove Sporting. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Bedford have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Bromsgrove Sporting have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertford Town(home) | 11-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Real Bedford win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bromsgrove Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting 1-3 Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Real Bedford 2-0 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bromsgrove Sporting vs Real Bedford on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Bedford sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Bromsgrove Sporting sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
- The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Bromsgrove Sporting.
- Where and when is Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove Sporting played?
- Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove Sporting is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Hitchin TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 10, 2026StourbridgevsLeighton Town
- Oct 10, 2026AlvechurchvsBury Town
- Oct 10, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStamford
- Oct 10, 2026Needham MarketvsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 10, 2026Redditch UnitedvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 10, 2026Rushall OlympicvsWorcester City
- Oct 10, 2026Stratford TownvsLeamington