Real Betis vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Real Betis the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Betis vs Celta Vigo?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Real Betis (2,175) and Celta Vigo (2,118).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Betis have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Celta Vigo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Betis win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Celta Vigo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Real Betis 1-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Celta Vigo 3-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Real Betis 2-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Real Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2024 | Celta Vigo 2-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Betis vs Celta Vigo on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Betis score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Betis sit 7th in La Liga (3 points from 1 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Betis vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab model makes Real Betis the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Real Betis vs Celta Vigo played?
- Real Betis vs Celta Vigo is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.