Barcelona vs Sevilla: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Camp Nou, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Sevilla. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barcelona vs Sevilla?
Barcelona is a heavy favourite: 2,435 Elo points against 2,063, a 372-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barcelona vs Sevilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barcelona
4-3-3- 10Lamine Yamal
- 17A. Gordon
- 11Raphinha
- 16Rodri
- 20Dani Olmo
- 8Pedri
- 24Eric García
- 18Gerard Martín
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 12X. Espart
- 1Joan García
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 9R. Ure
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 8G. Kochorashvili
- 30Miguel Ángel
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barcelona have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Sevilla have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 7-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levante(away) | 4-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Barcelona wins, 0 draws, 1 Sevilla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Barcelona 5-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sevilla 4-1 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Sevilla 1-4 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Barcelona 5-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| May 26, 2024 | Sevilla 1-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Barcelona score 3.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 3.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Sevilla | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barcelona sit 1st in La Liga (24 points from 8 matches) and Sevilla sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Barcelona vs Sevilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barcelona vs Sevilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Sevilla.
- Where and when is Barcelona vs Sevilla played?
- Barcelona vs Sevilla is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Nou, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.