Match

Real Sociedad vs Valencia: prediction and stats

La LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián

Real SociedadValencia

The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Valencia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

On Elo ratings, Real Sociedad has 2,150 points and Valencia 2,070.

52%25%23%
Real Sociedad winDrawValencia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Sociedad vs Valencia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Sociedad

4-4-2
  1. 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  2. 24L. Sučić
  1. 4Jon Gorrotxategi
  2. 11Gonçalo Guedes
  3. 18Carlos Soler
  4. 7Barrenetxea
  1. 6Jon Martín
  2. 19M. Sarr
  3. 17Sergio Gómez
  4. 2J. Aramburu
  1. 1Álex Remiro

Valencia

4-4-2
  1. 8Javi Guerra
  2. 7A. Danjuma
  1. 24Pablo Maffeo
  2. 2G. Rodríguez
  3. 11Luis Rioja
  4. 33Aaron Mayol
  1. 18Pepelu
  2. 14José Gayà
  3. 5César Tárrega
  4. 12J. de Haas
  1. 1S. Dimitrievski

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:01 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Valencia have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Sociedad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Athletic Club(away)1-2La Liga
Oct 25, 2026Levante(home)2-1La Liga
Oct 22, 2026Lillestrom(away)6-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 18, 2026Malaga(away)5-2La Liga
Oct 15, 2026Union St. Gilloise(away)1-1UEFA Europa League
Valencia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Elche(away)1-0La Liga
Oct 24, 2026Villarreal(home)1-2La Liga
Oct 17, 2026Athletic Club(home)0-0La Liga
Oct 11, 2026Racing Santander(away)2-2La Liga
Sep 20, 2026Real Sociedad(home)2-3La Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Sociedad wins, 1 draw, 2 Valencia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Valencia 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
May 17, 2026Real Sociedad 3-4 ValenciaLa Liga
Aug 16, 2025Valencia 1-1 Real SociedadLa Liga
Jan 19, 2025Valencia 1-0 Real SociedadLa Liga
Sep 28, 2024Real Sociedad 3-0 ValenciaLa Liga
May 16, 2024Real Sociedad 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga

Last archived meeting: Valencia vs Real Sociedad on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad1.91.7211/1512/15
Valencia0.91.548/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Sociedad sit 5th in La Liga (19 points from 11 matches) and Valencia sit 19th (9 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Real Sociedad11614202019
19Valencia112368179

A question about Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Valencia?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Valencia.
Where and when is Real Sociedad vs Valencia played?
Real Sociedad vs Valencia is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Reale Arena, in the La Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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