Athletic Club vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1. If Athletic Club wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Racing Santander?
On Elo ratings, Athletic Club has 2,093 points and Racing Santander 2,024.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Club vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 21Maroan Sannadi
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 9I. Williams
- 28Peio Canales
- 10Nico Williams
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 3Dani Vivian
- 1Unai Simón
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 23Iván Martín
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 19Iker Luque
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 09:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Racing Santander have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Prat(away) | 6-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Ribadesella CF(away) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Athletic Club wins, 2 draws, 0 Racing Santander wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Racing Santander 0-3 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Racing Santander 0-0 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Racing Santander 0-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Dec 11, 2011 | Athletic Club 1-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| May 21, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Athletic Club on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 7th in La Liga (15 points from 10 matches) and Racing Santander sit 16th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 11 |
A question about Athletic Club vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Athletic Club vs Racing Santander played?
- Athletic Club vs Racing Santander is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at San Mamés Barria, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.