Where and when is Excursionistas vs Real Pilar played?

Excursionistas vs Real Pilar is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Excursionistas, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Excursionistas vs Real Pilar: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Excursionistas, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Excursionistas

Real Pilar

The Footlab model makes Excursionistas the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Real Pilar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Excursionistas vs Real Pilar?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Excursionistas (1,753) and Real Pilar (1,725).

Excursionistas win48 %

Draw29 %

Real Pilar win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excursionistas have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Pilar have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Excursionistas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Talleres Remedios(away)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(home)	5-3	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(home)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Flandria(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

Real Pilar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(away)	1-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Flandria(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Argentino Quilmes(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Defensores Unidos(home)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Comunicaciones(away)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Excursionistas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Pilar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Real Pilar 0-1 Excursionistas	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2025	Real Pilar 1-2 Excursionistas	Primera B Metropolitana
Mar 30, 2025	Excursionistas 0-0 Real Pilar	Primera B Metropolitana
Jun 10, 2023	Real Pilar 2-3 Excursionistas	Primera C
Feb 6, 2023	Excursionistas 1-2 Real Pilar	Primera C
Sep 24, 2022	Real Pilar 3-1 Excursionistas	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Real Pilar vs Excursionistas on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Excursionistas score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Pilar score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Excursionistas	1.8	1.0	6	8/15	7/15
Real Pilar	0.9	0.9	5	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Excursionistas sit 1st in Primera B Metropolitana (41 points from 20 matches) and Real Pilar sit 7th (31 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	20	12	5	3	27	11	41
1	Excursionistas	31	17	8	6	47	24	59
7	Real Pilar	20	9	4	7	23	22	31
7	Real Pilar	31	13	9	9	34	31	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Excursionistas vs Real Pilar?: The Footlab model makes Excursionistas the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Real Pilar.
Where and when is Excursionistas vs Real Pilar played?: Excursionistas vs Real Pilar is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Excursionistas, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.