Match

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah

Real Salt LakeNew England Revolution

The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,795) and New England Revolution (1,735).

Real Salt Lake win54 %
Draw22 %
New England Revolution win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; New England Revolution have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Salt Lake
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Orlando City SC(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026FC Dallas(home)3-4Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026FC Juarez(home)3-0Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Atlante FC(home)4-0Leagues Cup
New England Revolution
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026DC United(away)3-0Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Toronto FC(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Atlanta United FC(home)4-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Salt Lake win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 New England Revolution win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 1, 2024Real Salt Lake 2-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Mar 13, 2022New England Revolution 2-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Sep 21, 2019New England Revolution 0-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Oct 19, 2018Real Salt Lake 4-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
May 13, 2017New England Revolution 4-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Jul 17, 2016Real Salt Lake 0-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution on Sep 1, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Salt Lake1.91.3411/1510/15
New England Revolution1.51.339/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Salt Lake sit 8th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 20 matches) and New England Revolution sit 4th (33 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4New England Revolution201037322533
8Real Salt Lake20848343228

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution.
Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution played?
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution

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