Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah
The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,795) and New England Revolution (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; New England Revolution have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 3-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 4-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | DC United(away) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(home) | 4-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Salt Lake win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 New England Revolution win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Real Salt Lake 2-0 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 13, 2022 | New England Revolution 2-3 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 21, 2019 | New England Revolution 0-0 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 19, 2018 | Real Salt Lake 4-1 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| May 13, 2017 | New England Revolution 4-0 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 17, 2016 | Real Salt Lake 0-0 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution on Sep 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| New England Revolution | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Salt Lake sit 8th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 20 matches) and New England Revolution sit 4th (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New England Revolution | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 33 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 32 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
- The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution.
- Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution played?
- Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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