Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC played?

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah

Real Salt Lake

New York City FC

The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for New York City FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,852) and New York City FC (1,837).

Real Salt Lake win50 %

Draw24 %

New York City FC win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; New York City FC have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Salt Lake
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	FC Juarez(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Atlante FC(home)	4-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026	Tigres UANL(away)	1-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 2, 2026	St. Louis City(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer

New York City FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Philadelphia Union(home)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Necaxa(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Toronto FC(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Salt Lake win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 New York City FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2025	Real Salt Lake 2-2 New York City FC	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 11, 2023	Real Salt Lake 0-0 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Apr 17, 2022	New York City FC 6-0 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
Aug 4, 2019	Real Salt Lake 3-1 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Apr 11, 2018	New York City FC 4-0 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
May 18, 2017	Real Salt Lake 2-1 New York City FC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC on Jan 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Real Salt Lake score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; New York City FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Salt Lake	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	9/15
New York City FC	1.4	1.2	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Salt Lake sit 7th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 18 matches) and New York City FC sit 7th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	New York City FC	19	7	5	7	33	27	26
7	Real Salt Lake	18	8	4	6	30	26	28

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?: The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for New York City FC.
Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC played?: Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.