Match

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah

Real Salt LakeSan Jose Earthquakes

The Footlab AI model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for San Jose Earthquakes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Salt Lake wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,839) and San Jose Earthquakes (1,890).

42%25%33%
Real Salt Lake winDrawSan Jose Earthquakes win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Salt Lake

3-4-3
  1. 22S. Solans
  2. 9M. Guilavogui
  3. 39A. Hezarkhani
  1. 92N. Caliskan
  2. 29S. Junqua
  3. 6S. Spierings
  4. 11D. Marczuk
  1. 2D. Yedlin
  2. 26P. Quinton
  3. 3K. Henry
  1. 1Rafael Cabral

San Jose Earthquakes

3-4-2-1
  1. 7O. Bouda
  1. 34Beau Leroux
  2. 23E. Löwen
  3. 10N. Tsakiris
  4. 2J. Ricketts
  5. 14R. Vieira
  6. 87Vítor Costa
  1. 5D. Munie
  2. 4D. Romney
  3. 18R. Roberts
  1. 1A. Gunn

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; San Jose Earthquakes have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Salt Lake
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026New England Revolution(home)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026New York City FC(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)1-2Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Portland Timbers(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026San Diego(away)3-2Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026Austin(away)1-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Salt Lake wins, 0 draws, 3 San Jose Earthquakes wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 27, 2025Real Salt Lake 2-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025San Jose Earthquakes 4-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024Real Salt Lake 0-2 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023Real Salt Lake 3-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes on Jul 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Real Salt Lake score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; San Jose Earthquakes score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Salt Lake1.31.637/159/15
San Jose Earthquakes1.32.0210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Salt Lake sit 11th in Major League Soccer (32 points from 27 matches) and San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th (45 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4San Jose Earthquakes271368493945
11Real Salt Lake279513404432

A question about Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for San Jose Earthquakes.
Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes played?
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes is played on October 15, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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