Real Sociedad II vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones de Zubieta, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Las Palmas?
Las Palmas starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,018 vs 1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Las Palmas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Sociedad II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Las Palmas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 1-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Las Palmas 2-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Las Palmas 0-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Las Palmas on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad II sit 13th in Segunda División (3 points from 2 matches) and Las Palmas sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad II vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad II vs Las Palmas played?
- Real Sociedad II vs Las Palmas is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones de Zubieta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.