Reddis vs Barakaldo: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Camp Nou Municipal, Reus
The Footlab AI model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Reddis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barakaldo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Reddis vs Barakaldo?
On Elo ratings, Reddis has 1,889 points and Barakaldo 1,924.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Reddis vs Barakaldo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Reddis
Not enough data to predict the Reddis lineup.
Barakaldo
4-3-3- 27E. Mateos
- 19Ángel Troncho
- 11Carlos Mattheus
- 15I. Jimenez
- 21X. Fernandez
- 8Julen Huidobro
- 3Ander Zoilo
- 18Benat Gomez
- 17Pablo Trigueros
- 5Aritz Muguruza
- 13Gaizka Campos
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reddis have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Barakaldo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Náxara(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Reddis score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reddis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Barakaldo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Reddis vs Barakaldo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Reddis vs Barakaldo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Reddis.
- Where and when is Reddis vs Barakaldo played?
- Reddis vs Barakaldo is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Camp Nou Municipal, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.