Match

Athletic Carpi vs Union Brescia: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi

Athletic CarpiUnion Brescia

The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Union Brescia?

Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,714).

18%26%56%
Athletic Carpi winDrawUnion Brescia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Athletic Carpi vs Union Brescia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Athletic Carpi

4-3-3
  1. 90V. Vitale
  2. 18T. Carcani
  3. 83A. Sall
  1. 11F. Puletto
  2. 10F. Casarini
  3. 5M. Figoli
  1. 19M. Rossini
  2. 24Fabio Desole
  3. 4D. Zagnoni
  4. 7T. Cecotti
  1. 1Alessandro Scacchetti

Union Brescia

3-4-2-1
  1. 9V. Crespi
  1. 25A. Rizzo Pinna
  2. 6A. Mercati
  3. 8D. Balestrero
  4. 20M. Zennaro
  5. 14A. Mallamo
  6. 27A. Lamesta
  1. 28L. Silvestri
  2. 15T. Casasola
  3. 24B. Boci
  1. 43G. Zacchi

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:34 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Carpi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Union Brescia have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Athletic Carpi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Lumezzane(home)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Pergolettese(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)0-3Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Novara(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Union Brescia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026PRO Vercelli(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Lecco(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Alcione(away)4-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Treviso(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Athletic Carpi wins, 0 draws, 2 Union Brescia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Union Brescia 3-1 Athletic CarpiSerie C - Girone A
Oct 28, 2025Athletic Carpi 0-1 Union BresciaCoppa Italia Serie C

Last archived meeting: Union Brescia vs Athletic Carpi on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Athletic Carpi score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Union Brescia score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Athletic Carpi1.51.7210/1510/15
Union Brescia1.71.067/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Athletic Carpi sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (9 points from 10 matches) and Union Brescia sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Union Brescia954016619
14Athletic Carpi1023514209

A question about Athletic Carpi vs Union Brescia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Athletic Carpi vs Union Brescia?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Athletic Carpi.
Where and when is Athletic Carpi vs Union Brescia played?
Athletic Carpi vs Union Brescia is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Athletic Carpi and Union Brescia

Ready to know everything about football?