Rennes vs Le Havre: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Roazhon Park, Rennes
The Footlab model makes Rennes the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Le Havre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rennes vs Le Havre?
Rennes starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,883).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rennes have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Le Havre have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Laval(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rennes win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Le Havre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Rennes 1-1 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Le Havre 2-2 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Le Havre 1-5 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Rennes 1-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Le Havre 0-1 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Rennes 2-2 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rennes score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rennes sit 8th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Le Havre sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rennes vs Le Havre?
- The Footlab model makes Rennes the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Le Havre.
- Where and when is Rennes vs Le Havre played?
- Rennes vs Le Havre is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Roazhon Park, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.